Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Capitalisation is healthy, as reflected in Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of 14.8% and overall CAR of 15.4% as on December 31, 2021 (13.3% and 13.8%, respectively as on March 31, 2021). While internal cash accrual has been low due to losses in the past, the bank has been able to raise funds even in the challenging environment. It raised overall Rs 5,000 crore of equity capital in fiscals 2021 and during nine months of fiscal 2022 (Rs 2,000 crore in June 2020 and Rs 3,000 crore in April 2021), besides Rs 1,500 crore through Tier II bonds in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022, increasing the capital adequacy to 16.5% (calculated on the financials as of 31st December 2021). The networth was sizeable at Rs 20,718 crore providing cushion against asset side risks, with networth coverage for net non-performing assets (NPAs) of 10.8 times as on December 31, 2021 (Rs 17,900 crore and 9.5 times, respectively, as on March 31, 2021).
With incremental growth in the retail and commercial loans portfolio along with scaling down of the infrastructure loan portfolio, capital consumption is expected to be lower than in the past. In addition, the management has demonstrated ability to raise capital on several occasions in the past.
CRISIL Ratings believes the bank’s capitalisation should remain healthy and will support credit growth over the medium term.
- Increased retailisation of both assets and liability franchise
IDFC FIRST Bank, in line with its strategy to become a bank with a sustainable growth engine driven by granular retail and commercial loans, has significantly scaled up the retail book and commercial book to 70% of the overall funded assets since the merger. This portfolio grew 26% in the past year, to Rs 86,052 crore as on December 31, 2021, from Rs 68,060 crore a year earlier. Consequently, the share of retail and commercial portfolio in total funded assets (advances + debt investments) increased to 70% from 62%; this further increased to 72.2% (including commercial loans of 8.8%) as on March 31, 2022 (provisional). While growth has largely been across retail product offerings, home loans were the primary driver along with small commercial loans.
The management plans a steady growth in the retail and commercial book in the coming quarters by leveraging their expertise and track record and targeting small entrepreneurs and consumer segments to drive growth. The bank had more than 100 lakh retail customers as of December 2021.
In addition, to increase the granularity of the loan book, the bank is focusing on consumer and micro small enterprise businesses and is also gradually scaling down its infrastructure financing portfolio while the non infra corporate loans portfolio will grow on a selective basis. Growth of 17% in the overall funded assets since the merger has been driven by the retail and commercial book, which grew 133% during this period. On the other hand, wholesale funded assets reduced by 48% during the same period and stood at Rs 29,697 crore as on December 31, 2021. Within the wholesale funded assets, the legacy infrastructure financing portfolio, with identified potential risks, reduced to Rs 8,051 crore as on December 31, 2021, from Rs 11,602 crore a year earlier. Consequently, the concentration risk in total funded assets has reduced significantly with the top 10 borrowers (as a % of total funded assets) accounting for 4.3% as on December 31, 2021, as against 6.3% a year earlier. The bank plans to further run down the infrastructure financing portfolio over the medium term.
Total funded assets grew 11% to Rs 1,22,219 crore as on December 31, 2021, from Rs 1,10,469 crore a year earlier. The gross funded assets further grew to Rs 1,32,067 crore (provisional), as on March 31, 2022 (Rs 117127crore as on March 31, 2021). As the infrastructure financing portfolio has already reduced sharply and retail loans have been growing at a steady pace, the bank is now expected to gradually scale up going forward.
On the liabilities side, the bank has been focusing on building a granular retail deposit franchise. Mobilisation of current account and savings account (CASA) deposits has improved significantly over the past few quarters, rising to 51.6% of total deposits (33.3% of overall resources) as on December 31, 2021 (48.31% and 32.4%, respectively, as on December 31, 2020). The proportion of deposits less than Rs 5 crore has been increasing gradually and stood at 87% (of consumer deposits) as on December 31, 2021 (78% as on December 31, 2020; 55% as on December 31, 2019). As the bank’s overall loan book did not grow to a similar extent as the retail liability franchise, this resource raised has been partly used to run down wholesale term deposits and certificate of deposits which helped increase granularity of the deposits profile and lower concentration risk by reducing dependence on wholesale deposits.
CASA as a % of total deposits stood at 48.7% as on March 31, 2022 (provisional) and on an absolute basis, the CASA increased to Rs 51,407 crore (provisional) from Rs 45,896 crore (51.7% as a % of total deposits) as on March 31, 2021.
With reduction in deposit rates and the consequent decrease in overall cost of funding, the bank plans to increasingly target the prime retail customer segment with relatively better credit profiles by offering competitive pricing.
CRISIL Ratings believes IDFC FIRST will continue to focus on driving growth by scaling up the retail loan book, further improving the granularity of the portfolio. It does not plan to take on incremental exposure in the infrastructure segment and will focus on the relatively mid-ticket, mid-corporate, and financial institution segments. The ability to scale up the retail liabilities franchise to support credit growth, given the alignment of interest rates, will need to be demonstrated over the medium term.
- Earnings to improve supported by healthy core profitability
IDFC FIRST’s earnings remain supported by healthy core profitability, as reflected in pre-provisioning operating profit of Rs 2,444 crore (2% of average total assets; annualised) for the nine months ended December 31, 2021, as against Rs 1,906 crore (1.6%) in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal (Rs 2,542 crore for fiscal 2021; 1.6%).
However, overall earnings remain impacted by elevated credits cost which stood at 1.3% (Rs 2,023 crore) of average total assets in fiscal 2021 and 2.7% (Rs 4,316 crore) in the previous fiscal. The bank reported a net profit of Rs 483 crore in fiscal 2021 with return on average total assets of 0.3% (loss of Rs 2,843 crore and negative 1.8%, respectively, in the previous fiscal).
Furthermore, in the first quarter of fiscal 2022, the bank’s asset quality was impacted by the second Covid wave leading to credit cost increasing to 4.5% (annualised; Rs 1,879 crore) with the bank reporting a loss of Rs 621 crore. Thereafter, in the second and third quarters of the fiscal, the bank’s credit cost normalised to 1.1% (Rs 475 crore) and 0.9% (Rs 392 crore), respectively, which resulted in net profit of Rs 111 crore and Rs 290 crore, respectively. For the first nine months of fiscal 2022, the bank reported net loss of Rs 220 crore as against net profit of Rs 346 crore for the corresponding period of the previous fiscal.
Nevertheless, the bank’s provision coverage ratio stood at 57% as on December 31, 2021. The bank also had 81% provisioning for identified stressed book, 18% provisioning for restructured assets and additional Covid-19 related contingent provision of Rs 165 crore (0.14% of total funded assets) as of December 31, 2021. With improving repayment behaviour of borrowers as reflected in the collection efficiency and the bounce rates nearing the pre-Covid levels, the incremental stress is not likely to reach the fiscal 2021 and the first quarter of fiscal 2022 cost.
In addition, the net interest margin (NIM) is at comfortable level of 5.9% given the asset side focus and is expected to improve further as the proportion of the relatively high-yielding retail segment increases and reliance on high-cost wholesale borrowings decreases.
Ability to improve profitability on a sustained basis will continue to remain a key monitorable.
Weakness:
IDFC FIRST’s asset quality was impacted in fiscal 2021 with GNPAs increasing to 4.1% as on March 31, 2021, from 2.6% as on March 31, 2020, due to Covid-led stress on cash flows of borrowers which adversely affected the retail and SME portfolio across the banking industry. There was additional stress on the loan book, especially the retail book, in the first quarter of fiscal 2022, due to the second Covid wave and absence of regulatory dispensations, leading the overall GNPAs to increase to 4.61% as on June 30, 2021. However, with easing of restrictions and pick-up in economic activity since then, bounce rates and collection efficiency have started improving and nearing the pre-Covid levels.
Slippages as a percentage of opening net advances for the nine months ended December 31, 2021, stood at 8.0% (annualised; Rs 6,106 crore). Overall GNPAs stood at 3.96% and the restructured book was 3.13% as on December 31, 2021. The slippages and GNPAs include one legacy infrastructure toll account with an outstanding of Rs 819 crore, which turned NPA in the first quarter of fiscal 2022. This account’s toll collections have improved since covid second wave, and although the account continues to be classified as an NPA, the repayments from this account are active. CRISIL Ratings understands that this account is expected to be resolved in near future. Excluding the said account, the overall GNPA and NNPA would have been 3.24% and 1.14% as of December 31, 2021.
The stress in overall economic environment led to increase in the retail book GNPAs to 4% as on March 31, 2021, from 1.77% a year earlier. However, over the quarters the retail GNPAs gradually reduced to 2.92% as on December 31, 2021, supported by normalising industry dynamics, refining of underwriting standards by the bank’s management, improving collection efficiency, and write-offs of Rs 3,000 crore. The wholesale book, excluding the infrastructure book, has been performing well as reflected in GNPA and NNPA having reduced to 2.52% and 0.39% respectively as of December 31,2021 from 3.98% and 1.92% as of March 31, 2021. The bank has identified stressed book of Rs 1,083 crore (0.9% of total funded assets) as on December 31, 2021, largely in the legacy infrastructure book, wherein it has made 81% provisioning.
Ability to scale up the retail book while having adequate asset quality will remain a key monitorable.